CS Emelec vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
EME
2 - 2
QUI
41%
28%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CUE
0 - 3
EME
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
EME
0 - 2
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
TEC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
EME
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
LIG
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
LOJ
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 1
LOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |