CS Emelec vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 3
EME
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
OLM
0 - 3
EME
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EME
3 - 0
OLM
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
EME
2 - 0
IVT
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 1
OLM
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
4 - 0
IMB
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LIG
3 - 0
LOJ
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
2 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
LOJ
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |