Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 1-3
CS Emelec vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 1
EME
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CUE
3 - 2
EME
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CAU
2 - 0
DYJ
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
3 - 0
SAR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 0
CES
91%
8%
1%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GOD
2 - 2
DYJ
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
2 - 2
LAN
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |