CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 2
EME
33%
28%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EME
0 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 1
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
5 - 1
MAC
27%
27%
45%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 0
LDU
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TEC
0 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
VAL
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |