CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
EME
0 - 1
UCH
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
OLM
1 - 1
EME
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 2
EME
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EME
3 - 0
QUI
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TEC
1 - 1
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
OLM
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIG
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |