CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
UCE
0 - 2
EME
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
EME
2 - 0
BSC
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EME
0 - 2
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
OLM
1 - 1
EME
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
EME
31%
29%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
IVT
6 - 0
OLM
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
IVT
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
IVT
4 - 0
LOJ
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIG
3 - 2
IVT
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 3
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |