CS Emelec vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1967 |
EME
1 - 4
NAC
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
EME
3 - 0
BSC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
OCT
0 - 4
EME
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
MUN
4 - 1
EME
30%
21%
48%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
JWI
2 - 1
EME
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
CCP
7 - 0
AUR
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
74%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1964 |
CCP
2 - 2
NAC
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
AUR
2 - 2
CCP
47%
21%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |