CS Emelec vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
15º
13º
10
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 29 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 26 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 24 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 18 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 15 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 1
EME
4%
11%
85%
|
79 | 17 | 62 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EME
0 - 0
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IMB
1 - 2
EME
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 3
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
UCE
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
NAC
8%
16%
77%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TEC
1 - 2
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |