CS Emelec vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SCI
2 - 0
EME
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
0 - 3
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
CUE
0 - 1
EME
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
JWI
0 - 0
EME
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EME
0 - 0
CUE
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 2
CUE
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 2
NAC
45%
29%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EME
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +2 |