CS Emelec vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 1
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
EME
2 - 2
TEC
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BSC
0 - 1
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
EME
0 - 1
OLM
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
EME
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
LDU
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LIG
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 1
TEC
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
BSC
0 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |