CS Emelec vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
EME
3 - 1
MIN
80%
15%
6%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
MIN
2 - 0
EME
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
2 - 1
EME
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
ALI
2 - 2
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
BSC
0 - 1
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 1
NAC
57%
26%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 0
NAC
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
4 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |