CS Emelec vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1997 |
EME
2 - 2
RAC
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
EME
2 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 0
EME
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
EME
0 - 0
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 0
VEL
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
VEL
1 - 1
NOB
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
RAC
1 - 2
VEL
35%
29%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1996 |
RIV
3 - 0
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |