CS Emelec vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 0
EME
47%
28%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
EME
2 - 0
MAN
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
EME
0 - 4
CAL
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 2
EME
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EME
0 - 1
AUC
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
RIV
2 - 1
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
RIV
29%
24%
46%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
RIV
3 - 1
LIB
72%
16%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
CAL
2 - 0
RIV
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |