CS Emelec vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
TEC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
EME
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
EME
27%
29%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARG
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
EME
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
LAN
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 3
SMA
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |