CS Emelec vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2000 |
EME
0 - 0
ATP
31%
23%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
1 - 0
EME
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 1
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
ALI
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 1
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
0 - 3
ATP
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |