EMD Aceuchal vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 3
EMD
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EMD
1 - 0
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AZU
2 - 0
EMD
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
EMD
0 - 2
JER
18%
23%
59%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 1
EMD
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 2
PLA
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 1
CDD
36%
24%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 1
TRU
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 1
AZU
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JER
5 - 0
TRU
60%
22%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |