EMD Aceuchal vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
EMD
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
EMD
2 - 0
PLA
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +4 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EMD
4 - 1
TRU
34%
25%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 3
EMD
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EMD
1 - 0
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 1
TRU
52%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 0
AMA
54%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AMA
3 - 1
SAM
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AZU
4 - 1
AMA
63%
19%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 0
JER
25%
25%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |