EM Mahdia vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
10º
26
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
CSH
2 - 1
EMM
67%
22%
11%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 2
EGS
27%
27%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 0
EMM
65%
23%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
STA
18%
32%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 0
SPO
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
MOK
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
SPO
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
CSH
13%
25%
62%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |