EM Mahdia vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
10º
58
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 0
EMM
65%
23%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOK
2 - 1
EMM
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
EMM
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EGS
2 - 1
STA
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 0
EGS
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
EGS
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
2 - 0
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
1 - 0
JSO
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |