EM Mahdia vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
10º
58
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 0
EMM
65%
23%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOK
2 - 1
EMM
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
EMM
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EGS
2 - 1
STA
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 0
EGS
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
EGS
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
2 - 0
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
1 - 0
JSO
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |