EM Cobeña vs Carranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Cobeña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
COB
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COB
4 - 0
AVA
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
COB
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
COB
1 - 2
NPI
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
JUS
2 - 0
COB
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ESC
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VDB
1 - 2
CAR
25%
22%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 5
CAR
35%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAB
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |