Elverum vs Kongsvinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MOL
0 - 1
ELV
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ELV
2 - 0
STB
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ELV
2 - 1
TYN
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 4
ELV
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
ELV
1 - 0
GJO
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kongsvinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
KON
5 - 0
JER
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HOD
2 - 2
KON
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FFK
0 - 1
KON
10%
18%
72%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
KON
3 - 2
RAU
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 0
KON
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |