Elverum vs Kongsvinger II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
8º
3º
35
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 60 |
2º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 56 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 41 |
6º
|
98.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 32 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 25 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 21 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ILU
3 - 3
ELV
10%
14%
76%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ELV
4 - 1
HAR
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 1
ELV
32%
21%
46%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ELV
6 - 0
SJE
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 0
ELV
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Kongsvinger II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
HAM
50%
20%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
4 - 4
KON
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KON
1 - 2
FLO
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IFC
3 - 7
KON
19%
18%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KON
0 - 0
FFK
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |