SV 07 Elversberg II vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 07 Elversberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
MET
1 - 5
ELV
45%
24%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
ELV
1 - 3
PIR
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BBE
5 - 2
ELV
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ELV
0 - 2
KOL
35%
25%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BET
2 - 1
ELV
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
SAA
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
MAY
1 - 2
HOM
24%
25%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
HOM
6 - 3
MEC
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 0
MET
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
PIR
2 - 2
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |