Elvas SL vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elvas SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
SCP
9 - 1
SLE
90%
6%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SLE
1 - 0
BEL
22%
21%
57%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
ATL
4 - 2
SLE
62%
18%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SLE
2 - 1
FAM
67%
16%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
SAN
3 - 0
SLE
32%
23%
45%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
FCP
4 - 2
ACA
73%
13%
14%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
19%
17%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
81%
11%
9%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
51%
19%
30%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
6 - 1
ACA
63%
17%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |