Eltersdorf vs TSV Karlburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
8º
2º
3
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
27% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ELT
2 - 0
NEU
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
AMM
0 - 2
ELT
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ELT
3 - 1
FCE
67%
19%
13%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 2
ELT
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ELT
4 - 0
ING
36%
24%
39%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Karlburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TSK
1 - 3
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
TSK
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 2
NEU
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 2
ATS
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
REG
3 - 3
TSK
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |