Eltersdorf vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 5
ILL
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 7
HEI
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
ELT
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ELT
4 - 1
AUG
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 2
ELT
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
MEM
1 - 1
186
37%
26%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 0
MEM
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
MEM
1 - 0
BAY
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
AUG
1 - 1
MEM
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MEM
1 - 3
WUR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |