Eltersdorf vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
8º
1º
21
13º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 3
ELT
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 0
ELT
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ELT
3 - 0
TSK
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ELT
2 - 0
NEU
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
AMM
0 - 2
ELT
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
JRE
0 - 1
REG
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
JRE
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JRE
0 - 1
EIC
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 1
JRE
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 1
JRE
54%
22%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |