Eltersdorf vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 7
HEI
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
ELT
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ELT
4 - 1
AUG
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 2
ELT
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ELT
4 - 1
SEL
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
ISM
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
186
2 - 1
ILL
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 2
BAY
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 0
ILL
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 1
EIN
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |