Eltersdorf vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ELT
0 - 1
186
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 3
ELT
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 0
ELT
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ELT
5 - 2
BAY
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
186
3 - 0
ELT
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
EIN
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 0
GRE
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
BUC
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NUR
0 - 2
GRE
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |