Eltersdorf vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
FRO
2 - 3
ELT
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
AUB
1 - 1
ELT
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
ELT
2 - 2
JRE
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
ELT
1 - 0
AMB
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
MEM
1 - 2
ELT
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ERB
1 - 0
MEM
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ERB
1 - 2
AMB
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ERL
1 - 0
ERB
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ERB
0 - 0
WUR
45%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 1
ERB
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |