Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AHA
4 - 1
ELT
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ELT
3 - 3
MEM
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
ELT
17%
21%
63%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ELT
0 - 1
SEL
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ERB
1 - 3
ELT
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 1
AMB
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 2
BAY
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BAY
4 - 1
WUR
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
FRO
3 - 0
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 0
WEI
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +5 |