Eltersdorf vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
8º
1º
21
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
ELT
1 - 2
DJK
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
ELT
22%
24%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ATS
0 - 0
ELT
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ELT
2 - 1
JRE
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 3
ELT
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
REG
1 - 1
BAY
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
ING
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 0
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
WEI
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 1
BAY
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |