Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
JRE
1 - 1
ELT
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 3
ELT
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ELT
1 - 1
ERL
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
3 - 1
ELT
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ELT
6 - 0
FRO
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
AMB
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 0
AUB
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
4 - 1
WUR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 3
AUB
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
WEI
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |