Elmshorn vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
46.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
HEB
13 - 1
ELM
87%
8%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ELM
2 - 2
IHA
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ELM
2 - 2
PAL
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
NDF
7 - 0
ELM
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SCS
5 - 0
ELM
37%
21%
42%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
UTO
1 - 2
HAL
35%
20%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FNT
1 - 3
UTO
24%
20%
57%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
BWS
0 - 5
UTO
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UTO
2 - 3
ALS
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UTO
1 - 5
HEB
27%
19%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |