Elmshorn vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HAM
5 - 0
ELM
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
ELM
4 - 1
HEB
21%
20%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NDF
0 - 3
ELM
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
ELM
6 - 0
ALS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
ELM
1 - 2
BWS
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UTO
7 - 3
SVE
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IHA
4 - 3
UTO
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 0
UTO
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UTO
0 - 2
HEB
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NDF
1 - 2
UTO
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |