Elmshorn vs TuRa Harksheide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
BWS
2 - 3
ELM
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
ELM
1 - 1
HAM
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
ELM
3 - 2
PNB
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ELM
1 - 1
TBP
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAS
4 - 1
ELM
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
THA
1 - 4
SAS
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
OSD
1 - 0
THA
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
THA
0 - 0
GER
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
THA
2 - 2
HEB
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
THA
4 - 3
FNT
87%
9%
3%
|
27 | 5 | 22 | -2 |