Elmshorn vs Pinneberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
ELM
2 - 0
ALS
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
HAL
4 - 1
ELM
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ELM
1 - 3
THA
24%
21%
56%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
VHA
7 - 1
ELM
42%
21%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
ELM
3 - 4
OTT
18%
19%
64%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pinneberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PNB
1 - 4
HAL
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FNT
2 - 0
PNB
47%
22%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HAM
3 - 2
PNB
85%
10%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
PNB
3 - 1
HEB
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
NDF
4 - 0
PNB
82%
11%
6%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |