Elmshorn vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
ELM
3 - 2
PNB
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ELM
1 - 1
TBP
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAS
4 - 1
ELM
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ELM
5 - 6
OSD
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
ELM
10%
16%
74%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
HAM
0 - 6
SAS
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
OSD
3 - 1
HAM
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
5 - 0
GER
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
5 - 0
HEB
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SVE
0 - 4
HAM
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +4 |