Elmshorn vs BW Schenefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 3
ELM
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PNB
2 - 0
ELM
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TBP
2 - 0
ELM
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ELM
2 - 1
SAS
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OSD
2 - 1
ELM
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
BW Schenefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
BWS
0 - 3
SAS
17%
19%
65%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
OSD
3 - 3
BWS
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
BWS
3 - 1
GER
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
BWS
0 - 1
HEB
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BWS
1 - 1
ALS
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |