Ellikon Marthalen vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 2
SVS
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCD
1 - 4
FRE
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 4
MEL
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
WID
3 - 0
FRE
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
5 - 1
KRE
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |