Ellerslie vs Otorohanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ellerslie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
4 - 1
EAF
85%
10%
6%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
EAF
5 - 1
NOR
45%
22%
34%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PFC
3 - 2
EAF
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
AUC
7 - 0
EAF
91%
6%
2%
|
9 | 66 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 4
EAF
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Otorohanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
OTO
4 - 0
COL
37%
21%
41%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 1
OTO
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
OTO
0 - 1
WAI
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
OTO
0 - 3
MAN
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
OTO
10 - 0
WTF
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +2 |