Elite vs George Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
ELI
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 0
ELI
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
ELI
3 - 1
TIG
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
ELI
41%
24%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ELI
0 - 0
GEO
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
George Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
GEO
0 - 0
NOR
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
BOD
2 - 2
GEO
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
GEO
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ELI
0 - 0
GEO
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |