UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Celik Zenica vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celik Zenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
SAR
3 - 0
ČEL
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ORA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ČEL
1 - 0
JED
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LAK
4 - 0
ČEL
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ČEL
1 - 0
SLO
45%
29%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
PET
0 - 2
GRB
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
GRB
3 - 1
KOM
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
GRB
2 - 0
MLA
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
RUD
1 - 3
GRB
45%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GRB
0 - 0
MOG
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |