Celik Zenica vs FK Radnički Lukavac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
9º
3º
7
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
21 | 60 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 58 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 49 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celik Zenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
ČEL
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ZVI
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
ČEL
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ČEL
4 - 1
JED
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ČEL
1 - 0
GOR
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FK Radnički Lukavac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 4
GRD
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 4
BUD
15%
22%
64%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOS
2 - 0
RAD
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 2
NSO
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ZVI
3 - 0
RAD
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |