Elgin City vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
10º
9º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
4 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
ELG
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
DUF
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STI
1 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 3
STR
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STR
0 - 4
ALB
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |