Elgin City vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 2
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
ELG
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 0
DUN
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 6 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STI
2 - 2
ELG
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 3
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STE
1 - 3
DUM
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STI
3 - 0
STE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
STE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
KIL
4 - 1
STE
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |