Elgin City vs St. Cuthbert Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ELG
0 - 4
QUE
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ELG
2 - 0
PET
50%
22%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GLA
5 - 1
ELG
85%
11%
3%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
THE
1 - 4
ELG
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ELG
3 - 1
STI
59%
20%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
STC
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
KEI
0 - 1
STC
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STC
0 - 2
KEI
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STR
9 - 0
STC
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STC
3 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
63%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | +11 |