Elgin City vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
4º
4º
9
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
9 | 67 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 65 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 58 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 31% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50% | 60% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 1
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 1
ELG
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
ELG
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
ELG
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 1
BAN
24%
22%
55%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
LIV
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STI
1 - 0
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
PET
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROS
17%
21%
63%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |