Elgin City vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
7º
58
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
EAS
4 - 0
ELG
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 0
FOR
29%
27%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
ELG
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 0
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
ELG
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
ARB
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 2
PET
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STE
3 - 2
SPA
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CLY
1 - 2
SPA
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |