Elgin City vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
3º
44
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 69 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 65 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 55 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 45 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 45 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
37.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 25% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
83.5% | 73% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 0
ELG
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
ELG
4 - 2
CLY
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 4
STI
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
ELG
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 2
KHE
25%
22%
53%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
PET
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
EAS
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CLY
3 - 2
PET
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PET
2 - 3
MON
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |